Budapest Vasas 3-2 Budafoki MTE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.27
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
75%
-1.5pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.5pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
2.28/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.81
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Vasas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Budafoki MTE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-3 HT 0-3 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
23.02.2025 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-0 HT 1-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
12.08.2024 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-1 HT 0-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
14.02.2024 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-0 HT 0-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
30.07.2023 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 0-1 HT 0-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
05.04.2023 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 3-0 HT 3-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MACK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Vasas
3-2
AWAY Budafoki MTE
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Budapest Vasas vs Budafoki MTE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Vasas nicked a narrow win over Budafoki MTE 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Budapest Vasas as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Budapest Vasas had 54% of the ball to Budafoki MTE's 46%, shots finished 18-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Budapest Vasas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Budapest Vasas and 0.67 for Budafoki MTE.

What was the final score of Budapest Vasas vs Budafoki MTE?

Budapest Vasas 3-2 Budafoki MTE in the Hungary - NB II on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Vasas vs Budafoki MTE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Budapest Vasas 73%, draw 16%, Budafoki MTE 11%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Vasas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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