Rukh Vynnyky 1-2 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
0.99/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.04
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.11.2025 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 1-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
02.03.2025 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-0 HT 1-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
25.08.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 3-0 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
29.07.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 2-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
02.04.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-0 HT 1-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
09.09.2022 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 3-1 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
1-2
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rukh Vynnyky vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk edged past Rukh Vynnyky 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zorya Luhansk as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rukh Vynnyky had 50% of the ball to Zorya Luhansk's 50%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rukh Vynnyky and 1.33 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Rukh Vynnyky vs Zorya Luhansk?

Rukh Vynnyky 1-2 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rukh Vynnyky vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rukh Vynnyky 22%, draw 28%, Zorya Luhansk 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zorya Luhansk), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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