Albion 3-2 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 4 May 2026

Albion
3-2 HT 3-1
Nacional de Football
📅04/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2026

Albion vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.67
Over 2.5
58%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.85
No
38%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
56%
-13.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
44%
+13.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
50%
+12.0pp
38%
BTTS No
50%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albion v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albion EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.64/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.48
+128% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Albion vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albion
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.10.2022 Albion Albion 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
21.05.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 0-0 Albion Albion URU

Albion 3-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albion
3-2
AWAY Nacional de Football
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albion vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albion squeezed past Nacional de Football 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Albion found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Albion had 46% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 54%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Albion and 1.50 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Albion vs Nacional de Football?

Albion 3-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albion vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Albion 36%, draw 26%, Nacional de Football 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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