İtalya vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities
İtalya v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals
İtalya vs Türkiye Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
İtalya 0-0 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics
İtalya and Türkiye cancelled each other out in a 0-0. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İtalya at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 53% to 47% in İtalya's favour, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.75 to 0.94.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İtalya had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for İtalya against 1.00 for Türkiye.
İtalya vs Türkiye Result & Final Score
İtalya 0 - 0 Türkiye in the International Friendlies on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
İtalya vs Türkiye Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split İtalya 65%, draw 22%, Türkiye 13%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.