Finlandiya (K) 1-1 Hollanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 4 Jun 2024

📅04/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.48
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
19%
-2.8pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.1pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finlandiya (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
194 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finlandiya (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hollanda (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.45 xG 0.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
306 Passes 418
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2024 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Finlandiya (K) Finlandiya (K) KAVŞE
02.07.2022 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Finlandiya (K) Finlandiya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finlandiya (K)
1-1
AWAY Hollanda (K)
1.23 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
296 Passes 382
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Finlandiya (K) vs Hollanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finlandiya (K) and Hollanda (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hollanda (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Finlandiya (K) had 45% of the ball to Hollanda (K)'s 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.23 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hollanda (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Finlandiya (K) and 1.50 for Hollanda (K).

What was the final score of Finlandiya (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Finlandiya (K) 1-1 Hollanda (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finlandiya (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hollanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Finlandiya (K) 17%, draw 34%, Hollanda (K) 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hollanda (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hollanda (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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