Polonya (K) 1-3 Almanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 4 Jun 2024

📅04/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
6%
+13.3pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.3pp
62%
Away Win
80%
-18.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.0pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -88%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 472 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 10.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Almanya (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.17 xG 4.48
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 34
3 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 12
178 Passes 375
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 75
8 Crosses 46
1 Yellow Cards 0
31.05.2024 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 4-1 HT 1-1 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya (K)
1-3
AWAY Almanya (K)
0.84 xG 4.99
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 39
1 Shots on Target 15
1 Corners 14
170 Passes 467
63% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 74
6 Crosses 48
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonya (K) vs Almanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya (K) saw off Polonya (K) 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Almanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Polonya (K) had 32% of the ball to Almanya (K)'s 68%, shots finished 6-39, expected goals 0.84 to 4.99.

What was the final score of Polonya (K) vs Almanya (K)?

Polonya (K) 1-3 Almanya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya (K) vs Almanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Polonya (K) 19%, draw 19%, Almanya (K) 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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