Progreso vs Cerro Largo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Cerro Largo — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Cerro Largo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
1-2
HT 1-1
Cerro Largo
URU
0-1
HT 0-1
Cerro Largo
URU
Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Largo squeezed past Progreso 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Cerro Largo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Progreso had 50% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 50%, shots finished 14-9.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Progreso and 1.00 for Cerro Largo.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Cerro Largo?
Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Cerro Largo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Progreso 37%, draw 27%, Cerro Largo 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Progreso) went the other way.