Throttur Vogar 1-2 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 4 Jun 2025

📅04/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.2pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Vogar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.37/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/2.79
-13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
445 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Vogar
2W-0D-2L
AWAY AEgir
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2024 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 3-0 HT 1-0 AEgir AEgir İZL2
17.09.2022 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 0-3 HT 0-0 AEgir AEgir İZL1
09.07.2022 AEgir AEgir 1-0 HT 0-0 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL1
06.06.2020 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 2-1 HT 1-1 AEgir AEgir İZK
POST-MATCH Throttur Vogar vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEgir nicked a narrow win over Throttur Vogar 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Throttur Vogar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Throttur Vogar and 1.25 for AEgir.

What was the final score of Throttur Vogar vs AEgir?

Throttur Vogar 1-2 AEgir in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 04/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Vogar vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Throttur Vogar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Throttur Vogar 50%, draw 23%, AEgir 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Throttur Vogar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Throttur Vogar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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