İtalya U17 1-1 İspanya U17 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U17 Championship, 4 Jun 2026

📅04/06/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
29%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
28%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
50%
Away Win
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U17 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya U17 EU Bookmakers 50%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.01/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.17
-17% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +108%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
14.7 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U17
1W-0D-1L
AWAY İspanya U17
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.04 xG 1.74
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 256
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2023 İtalya U17 İtalya U17 1-2 HT 1-0 İspanya U17 İspanya U17 U17
10.05.2019 İtalya U17 İtalya U17 4-1 HT 1-1 İspanya U17 İspanya U17 U17
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U17
1-1
AWAY İspanya U17
1.34 xG 2.52
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
188 Passes 520
24 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İtalya U17 vs İspanya U17
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U17 and İspanya U17 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was İspanya U17 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.34 to 2.52.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for İtalya U17 and 1.50 for İspanya U17.

What was the final score of İtalya U17 vs İspanya U17?

İtalya U17 1-1 İspanya U17 in the European U17 Championship on 04/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U17 vs İspanya U17?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya U17 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split İtalya U17 22%, draw 27%, İspanya U17 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İspanya U17), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İspanya U17) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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