Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Dinamo Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
13%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +23%
1.49/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.34
-24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Brest
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
09.06.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 4-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
23.10.2022 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
26.06.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
14.08.2021 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
10.04.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
1-0
AWAY Dinamo Brest
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs Dinamo Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk squeezed past Dinamo Brest 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 49% of the ball to Dinamo Brest's 51%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 0.67 for Dinamo Brest.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs Dinamo Brest?

Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Dinamo Brest in the Belarus - Premier League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs Dinamo Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 46%, draw 26%, Dinamo Brest 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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