Pilcomayo 1-4 Atletico Colegiales — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
16.01
Draw
18%
6.26
Away Pick
64%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.29
Over
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.75
No
49%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
32%
4-5
32%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
28%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Atletico Colegiales win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
18%
Home Win
3%
+14.9pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.4pp
64%
Away Win
84%
-20.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
32%
+19.2pp
49%
BTTS No
68%
-19.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pilcomayo The Market 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Colegiales The Market 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
220 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pilcomayo
1-4
AWAY Atletico Colegiales
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pilcomayo vs Atletico Colegiales
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Colegiales ran out comfortable winners over Pilcomayo 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Colegiales as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pilcomayo had 34% of the ball to Atletico Colegiales's 66%, shots finished 7-24.

What was the final score of Pilcomayo vs Atletico Colegiales?

Pilcomayo 1-4 Atletico Colegiales in the Paraguay - Cup on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pilcomayo vs Atletico Colegiales?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Colegiales win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Pilcomayo 18%, draw 18%, Atletico Colegiales 64%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Colegiales), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Colegiales) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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