Richmond Kickers 2-1 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 4 Jul 2024

Richmond Kickers
2-1 HT 1-0
Forward Madison
📅04/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Richmond Kickers v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -15%
1.03/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.39
-34% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.3 Crosses 14.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Forward Madison
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.72 xG 1.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
320 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-2 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
15.09.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
06.08.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
18.06.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
09.10.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
24.06.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-1 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1

Richmond Kickers 2-1 Forward Madison — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
2-1
AWAY Forward Madison
0.37 xG 1.46
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
299 Passes 445
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers edged past Forward Madison 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Richmond Kickers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 41% of the ball to Forward Madison's 59%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.37 to 1.46 — on chances, Forward Madison could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.50 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

Richmond Kickers 2-1 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 37%, draw 29%, Forward Madison 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Richmond Kickers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Richmond Kickers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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