Thanh Hoa 2-1 Nam Dinh FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - Cup, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.4pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nam Dinh FC EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nam Dinh FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 2-5 HT 2-1 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC VİET
08.03.2024 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
16.07.2023 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-2 HT 0-2 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC VİET
24.06.2023 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
22.10.2022 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
09.07.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-1 HT 0-0 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC VİET
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa nicked a narrow win over Nam Dinh FC 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nam Dinh FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nam Dinh FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Thanh Hoa and 1.50 for Nam Dinh FC.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh FC?

Thanh Hoa 2-1 Nam Dinh FC in the Vietnam - Cup on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nam Dinh FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 34%, draw 20%, Nam Dinh FC 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nam Dinh FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nam Dinh FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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