Almanya (K) 2-0 Polonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
4.0
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.45
2-3 Goals
37%
2.68
4-5 Goals
32%
2.38
6+ Goals
16%
3.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.12
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
35.0
X/1
18%
4.21
X/2
6%
35.0
X/X
6%
17.55
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
4%
35.0
2/X
5%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.6pp
16%
Draw
10%
+5.9pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.7pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.7pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.27/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/2.88
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
18.0 Crosses 3.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almanya (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Polonya (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
4.74 xG 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
36 Total Shots 6
14 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
421 Passes 174
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
74 Box Touches 10
47 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 0
04.06.2024 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 1-3 HT 1-0 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) KAVŞE
31.05.2024 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 4-1 HT 1-1 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almanya (K)
2-0
AWAY Polonya (K)
2.77 xG 1.05
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
496 Passes 141
88% Pass Accuracy 60%
45 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Almanya (K) vs Polonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya (K) beat Polonya (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almanya (K) had 71% of the ball to Polonya (K)'s 29%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.77 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Almanya (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Almanya (K) and 1.00 for Polonya (K).

What was the final score of Almanya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Almanya (K) 2-0 Polonya (K) in the European Women's Championship on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Almanya (K) 69%, draw 16%, Polonya (K) 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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