Torpedo Zhodino 4-1 FC Molodechno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.81
No
59%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
78%
-11.7pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.3pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.3pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Molodechno EU Bookmakers 8%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.00/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.80
-14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -24%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
475 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Molodechno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2024 FC Molodechno FC Molodechno 0-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
4-1
AWAY FC Molodechno
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Molodechno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino swept aside FC Molodechno 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torpedo Zhodino as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Zhodino had 70% of the ball to FC Molodechno's 30%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Molodechno?

Torpedo Zhodino 4-1 FC Molodechno in the Belarus - Premier League on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Molodechno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Zhodino 66%, draw 19%, FC Molodechno 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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