Atletico Goianiense 2-1 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 4 Jul 2025

Atletico Goianiense
2-1 HT 1-1
CRB
📅04/07/2025 · 🕒03:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Atletico Goianiense vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.8
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Goianiense v CRB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.35/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.39
+39% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
26.8 Crosses 18.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Atletico Goianiense vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CRB
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
339 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2023 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 2-0 CRB CRB BR2
10.11.2019 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
07.08.2019 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
25.08.2018 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
05.05.2018 CRB CRB 3-1 HT 3-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
05.10.2016 CRB CRB 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2

Atletico Goianiense 2-1 CRB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
2-1
AWAY CRB
1.19 xG 1.56
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
246 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense nicked a narrow win over CRB 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Atletico Goianiense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 41% of the ball to CRB's 59%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.19 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 1.33 for CRB.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs CRB?

Atletico Goianiense 2-1 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 40%, draw 29%, CRB 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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