Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.29
Draw
29%
5.15
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
73%
-22.4pp
29%
Draw
16%
+12.4pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 14%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.69/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.97
-70% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
495 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0
AWAY Gorica
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk squeezed past Gorica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shakhtar Donetsk had 68% of the ball to Gorica's 32%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Gorica?

Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Gorica in the Friendlies on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 51%, draw 29%, Gorica 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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