Naft Al-Basra vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft Al-Basra v Erbil — Team-Based Signals
Naft Al-Basra edged past Erbil 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Naft Al-Basra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Naft Al-Basra vs Erbil?
Naft Al-Basra 4-3 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft Al-Basra vs Erbil?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Al-Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naft Al-Basra 41%, draw 22%, Erbil 38%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft Al-Basra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.