Shaanxi Union 2-1 Wuxi Wugou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.2
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 32% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.27/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.40
+15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
15.4 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shaanxi Union
2-1
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
1.75 xG 0.56
28 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
448 Passes 221
32 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shaanxi Union vs Wuxi Wugou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shaanxi Union squeezed past Wuxi Wugou 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shaanxi Union as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 28-10, expected goals 1.75 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Shaanxi Union vs Wuxi Wugou?

Shaanxi Union 2-1 Wuxi Wugou in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shaanxi Union vs Wuxi Wugou?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shaanxi Union win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shaanxi Union 44%, draw 31%, Wuxi Wugou 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shaanxi Union), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shaanxi Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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