Leiknir Reykjavik 3-3 Völsungur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
15%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-3.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.4pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Völsungur EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.15/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/2.59
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Völsungur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.04.2026 Völsungur Völsungur 1-1 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
17.08.2025 Völsungur Völsungur 1-2 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
09.06.2025 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-1 HT 0-0 Völsungur Völsungur İZL1
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Völsungur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiknir Reykjavik and Völsungur shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leiknir Reykjavik at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 1.00 for Völsungur.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Völsungur?

Leiknir Reykjavik 3-3 Völsungur in the Iceland - 1st Division on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Völsungur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 64%, draw 21%, Völsungur 15%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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