Criciuma 1-0 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.68/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.07
+5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
26.1 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sport Recife
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
267 Passes 336
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-3 HT 2-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
25.05.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
03.08.2022 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-1 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
23.04.2022 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
09.11.2019 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
11.08.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
1-0
AWAY Sport Recife
1.34 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
214 Passes 288
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Criciuma vs Sport Recife
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Criciuma edged past Sport Recife 1-0 in the Brazil - Serie B on 4 Jul 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Criciuma had 46% of the ball to Sport Recife's 54%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.34 to 1.00.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Criciuma and 1.00 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Sport Recife?

Criciuma 1-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 47%, draw 25%, Sport Recife 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Criciuma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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