Paju Citizen 0-1 Yongin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 39% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Yongin EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.65/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.7 Crosses 15.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paju Citizen
0-1
AWAY Yongin
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
225 Passes 202
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Yongin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yongin squeezed past Paju Citizen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Yongin made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Yongin?

Paju Citizen 0-1 Yongin in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Yongin?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 33%, draw 34%, Yongin 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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