Salzburg 2-1 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.78
2-3 Goals
38%
2.15
4-5 Goals
28%
2.33
6+ Goals
16%
4.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
3.07/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.11
+68% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
2-1
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.79 xG 1.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
526 Passes 376
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg nicked a narrow win over Gornik Zabrze 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Salzburg had 57% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 43%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.79 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Gornik Zabrze?

Salzburg 2-1 Gornik Zabrze in the Friendlies on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 55%, draw 21%, Gornik Zabrze 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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