Floridsdorfer AC 2-0 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.3
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
13%
6.42
X/2
11%
5.0
X/X
13%
5.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.03
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floridsdorfer AC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
0.70/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.14
-5% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
16.7 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floridsdorfer AC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
25.08.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 1-0 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
26.05.2023 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
04.09.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-2 HT 1-0 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
11.03.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-1 HT 0-1 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
20.08.2021 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floridsdorfer AC
2-0
AWAY St. Pölten
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Floridsdorfer AC vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floridsdorfer AC saw off St. Pölten 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Floridsdorfer AC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Floridsdorfer AC had 51% of the ball to St. Pölten's 49%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floridsdorfer AC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Floridsdorfer AC and 0.83 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Floridsdorfer AC vs St. Pölten?

Floridsdorfer AC 2-0 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floridsdorfer AC vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floridsdorfer AC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Floridsdorfer AC 40%, draw 26%, St. Pölten 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floridsdorfer AC) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floridsdorfer AC) ✗ Over 2.5
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