Kopenhag 1-1 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.75
X/1
9%
4.07
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
11%
6.06
2/1
9%
20.65
2/2
12%
7.14
2/X
6%
15.25
Value flag · 1/X at 14.75 — our 11% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +5%
1.75/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.75
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.1 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kopenhag
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Randers FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.77 xG 1.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
422 Passes 363
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-1 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
05.11.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 2-4 HT 1-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
05.08.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 4-0 HT 3-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
04.06.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-1 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
10.04.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
29.10.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
POST-MATCH Kopenhag vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kopenhag and Randers FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kopenhag at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kopenhag had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kopenhag and 0.83 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of Kopenhag vs Randers FC?

Kopenhag 1-1 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kopenhag vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kopenhag 45%, draw 28%, Randers FC 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kopenhag), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
4 Aug 2024
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