Stellenbosch FC 3-1 TS Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 37% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 27%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-100% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -56%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY TS Galaxy
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
299 Passes 356
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-2 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
16.12.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 0-1 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFLK
04.10.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 3-0 HT 2-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
12.03.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 3-6 HT 1-2 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAF8K
08.01.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
22.12.2021 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 0-1 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
3-1
AWAY TS Galaxy
1.51 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
296 Passes 278
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs TS Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stellenbosch FC got the better of TS Galaxy 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stellenbosch FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 52% of the ball to TS Galaxy's 48%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.51 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stellenbosch FC and 0.83 for TS Galaxy.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs TS Galaxy?

Stellenbosch FC 3-1 TS Galaxy in the South Afrika - Cup on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs TS Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 47%, draw 23%, TS Galaxy 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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