Kisvarda 1-2 Budafoki MTE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
271 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Budafoki MTE
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2023 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-0 HT 2-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MACK
27.02.2021 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-0 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
28.11.2020 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-0 HT 0-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC
17.08.2020 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-1 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
1-2
AWAY Budafoki MTE
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Budafoki MTE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budafoki MTE nicked a narrow win over Kisvarda 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kisvarda at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kisvarda had 63% of the ball to Budafoki MTE's 37%, shots finished 19-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Budafoki MTE led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Kisvarda and 1.50 for Budafoki MTE.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Budafoki MTE?

Kisvarda 1-2 Budafoki MTE in the Hungary - NB II on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Budafoki MTE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 45%, draw 28%, Budafoki MTE 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kisvarda), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kisvarda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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