Zimbru 4-0 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
41%
+6.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.9pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.43/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/1.06
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
5W-1D-0L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
05.11.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-1 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
26.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
20.05.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 1-1 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
15.04.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 1-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
09.10.2022 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-2 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
4-0
AWAY CSF Balti
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru ran out comfortable winners over CSF Balti 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Zimbru had 44% of the ball to CSF Balti's 56%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zimbru and 0.17 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs CSF Balti?

Zimbru 4-0 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 47%, draw 25%, CSF Balti 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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