Charlotte Independence vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Independence v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte Independence vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Charlotte Independence
USL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Lexington
USL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Charlotte Independence
USL1
Charlotte Independence 3-3 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte Independence and Lexington couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Charlotte Independence at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Charlotte Independence had 62% of the ball to Lexington's 38%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 2.08 to 2.50.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.33 for Lexington.
What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Lexington?
Charlotte Independence 3-3 Lexington in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 48%, draw 26%, Lexington 26%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.