Göteborg 3-0 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.13
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.26
X/2
5%
9.74
X/X
7%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.75
2/2
9%
7.56
2/X
7%
15.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
1.75/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.85
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
24.0 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Degerfors
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.71 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 Passes 366
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Degerfors Degerfors 1-3 HT 0-3 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
19.08.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
04.05.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 6-0 HT 3-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
20.10.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 3-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
04.07.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
01.11.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
3-0
AWAY Degerfors
2.37 xG 0.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
32 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
20 Corners 4
433 Passes 176
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
39 Box Touches 14
52 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg ran out comfortable winners over Degerfors 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Göteborg as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Göteborg had 67% of the ball to Degerfors's 33%, shots finished 32-7, expected goals 2.37 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göteborg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Göteborg and 0.83 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Degerfors?

Göteborg 3-0 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 60%, draw 21%, Degerfors 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göteborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göteborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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