US Virgin Adaları 3-3 Bahamalar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
36%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
25%
+14.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
52%
-15.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Virgin Adaları EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahamalar EU Bookmakers 56%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Virgin Adaları
3-3
AWAY Bahamalar
1.32 xG 1.99
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
124 Passes 364
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH US Virgin Adaları vs Bahamalar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Virgin Adaları and Bahamalar shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, US Virgin Adaları had 32% of the ball to Bahamalar's 68%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.32 to 1.99.

What was the final score of US Virgin Adaları vs Bahamalar?

US Virgin Adaları 3-3 Bahamalar in the CONCACAF Champions League on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Virgin Adaları vs Bahamalar?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Virgin Adaları win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split US Virgin Adaları 39%, draw 25%, Bahamalar 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (US Virgin Adaları) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (US Virgin Adaları) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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