Santo Domingo 2-3 El Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 4 Sep 2024

Santo Domingo
2 - 3 HT 1 - 1
El Nacional
📅04/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Ecuador - Cup – 2024

Santo Domingo vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.44
Draw
21%
3.81
Away Pick
65%
1.53
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.87
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.94
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
1%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Santo Domingo v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Santo Domingo The Market 18%
Signal
AWAY El Nacional The Market 66%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.79 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
1.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.85
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Great
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2

Santo Domingo 2-3 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santo Domingo
2 - 3
AWAY El Nacional
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Santo Domingo vs El Nacional
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

El Nacional shaded a tight game against Santo Domingo 3-2 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we said in the preview, our model had El Nacional as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, El Nacional saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 7-10.

Santo Domingo vs El Nacional Result & Final Score

Santo Domingo 2 - 3 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Cup on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Santo Domingo vs El Nacional Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Santo Domingo 14%, draw 21%, El Nacional 65%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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