Darlaston Town 2-3 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.15
Over Pick
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
25%
+9.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlaston Town The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town The Market 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlaston Town
2-3
AWAY Harborough Town
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Darlaston Town vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town squeezed past Darlaston Town 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Darlaston Town had 36% of the ball to Harborough Town's 64%, shots finished 4-26.

What was the final score of Darlaston Town vs Harborough Town?

Darlaston Town 2-3 Harborough Town in the England - FA Cup on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlaston Town vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Darlaston Town 34%, draw 22%, Harborough Town 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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