Irak vs Hong Kong Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Irak v Hong Kong — Team-Based Signals
Irak vs Hong Kong Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Hong Kong
DKE
Irak 2-1 Hong Kong — Actual Match Statistics
Irak nicked a narrow win over Hong Kong 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Irak as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Irak had 71% of the ball to Hong Kong's 29%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.42 to 1.25.
What was the final score of Irak vs Hong Kong?
Irak 2-1 Hong Kong in the Friendlies - Copa del Rey on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Irak vs Hong Kong?
Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Irak 64%, draw 24%, Hong Kong 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.