Moldova U21 1-2 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
62%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
62%
Away Win
65%
-2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moldova U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 EU Bookmakers 69%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.92/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.60
+2% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +55%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
274 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moldova U21
1-2
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
0.77 xG 1.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
186 Passes 296
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Moldova U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 edged past Moldova U21 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Moldova U21 had 44% of the ball to İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21's 56%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.77 to 1.86.

What was the final score of Moldova U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21?

Moldova U21 1-2 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 in the European U21 on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moldova U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Moldova U21 18%, draw 21%, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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