Landskrona 4-1 Skövde AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.18
Over
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.19
2-3
40%
1.86
4-5
21%
3.03
6+
12%
9.39
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.19 — our 27% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
23.15
X/1
20%
3.38
X/2
9%
19.65
X/X
9%
7.25
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
7%
16.15
2/X
8%
23.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Landskrona win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.6pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.0pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+10.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Landskrona EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 14%
-32% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
0.52/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.14
-73% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Landskrona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Skövde AIK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.04.2024 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
27.09.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 4-2 HT 1-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
15.04.2023 Landskrona Landskrona 2-0 HT 1-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
03.08.2022 Landskrona Landskrona 0-1 HT 0-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
09.04.2022 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 2-0 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
03.10.2020 Landskrona Landskrona 3-2 HT 2-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Landskrona
4-1
AWAY Skövde AIK
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Landskrona vs Skövde AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Landskrona swept aside Skövde AIK 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Landskrona as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Landskrona had 61% of the ball to Skövde AIK's 39%, shots finished 23-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skövde AIK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Landskrona and 1.50 for Skövde AIK.

What was the final score of Landskrona vs Skövde AIK?

Landskrona 4-1 Skövde AIK in the Sweden - Superettan on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Landskrona vs Skövde AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Landskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Landskrona 57%, draw 22%, Skövde AIK 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Landskrona) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Landskrona) ✗ BTTS No
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