Leganes 0-0 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 Oct 2024

Leganes
0-0 HT 0-0
Valencia
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Leganes vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.33
No
65%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
16%
7.49
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
12%
5.28
X/2
7%
5.19
X/X
18%
3.06
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.31
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 68% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.1pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.1pp
65%
BTTS No
61%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leganes v Valencia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
0.97/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
-19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.0 Crosses 19.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Leganes vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Valencia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 418
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.07.2020 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
22.09.2019 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS1
24.02.2019 Leganes Leganes 1-1 HT 0-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
20.10.2018 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
01.04.2018 Leganes Leganes 0-1 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
04.11.2017 Valencia Valencia 3-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1

Leganes 0-0 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
0-0
AWAY Valencia
0.79 xG 0.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
435 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Valencia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes and Valencia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leganes had 59% of the ball to Valencia's 41%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.79 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valencia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leganes and 1.17 for Valencia.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Valencia?

Leganes 0-0 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Valencia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leganes 40%, draw 30%, Valencia 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leganes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leganes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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