Sampdoria 1-2 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.59
Over
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.44
2-3
37%
1.78
4-5
21%
4.88
6+
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.43
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.95
X/1
11%
3.92
X/2
10%
8.96
X/X
16%
3.94
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
10%
7.78
2/X
5%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.43/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.31
-10% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.7 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.08.2012 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTK
12.05.2012 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-2 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
09.12.2011 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-2
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.70 xG 0.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
269 Passes 230
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia squeezed past Sampdoria 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sampdoria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sampdoria had 53% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 47%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.70 to 0.48 — on chances, Sampdoria could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sampdoria had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sampdoria and 1.00 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?

Sampdoria 1-2 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 42%, draw 32%, Juve Stabia 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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