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Real Madrid (K) vs Valencia (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid (K) v Valencia (K) — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid (K) vs Valencia (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Real Madrid (K) 1-0 Valencia (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over Valencia (K) 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 66% of the ball to Valencia (K)'s 34%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.59 to 0.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Valencia (K)?
Real Madrid (K) 1-0 Valencia (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Valencia (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 64%, draw 21%, Valencia (K) 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.