Wolfsburg (K) 5-0 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.3pp
19%
Draw
10%
+8.9pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+4.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.05/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/3.83
+44% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / -43%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
21.8 Crosses 10.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.88 xG 0.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
421 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
44 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
5-0
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
3.75 xG 1.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 Passes 285
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) swept aside RB Leipzig (K) 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 59% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 41%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 3.75 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 5-0 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 69%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig (K) 11%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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