Westerlo 2-2 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 Oct 2024

Westerlo
2-2 HT 0-1
Beerschot VA
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Westerlo vs Beerschot VA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.61
Over Pick
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
19%
5.93
2-3
35%
2.06
4-5
33%
2.58
6+
13%
5.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.85
X/1
14%
3.82
X/2
8%
14.5
X/X
9%
7.68
2/1 ✗
14%
19.5
2/2
6%
9.95
2/X
6%
17.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.5 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+4.0pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v Beerschot VA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -25%
1.58/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.54
-17% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
13.7 Crosses 12.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Westerlo vs Beerschot VA Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
31.01.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL2
14.12.2019 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
11.10.2019 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL2
07.09.2019 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
04.05.2019 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 3-2 HT 2-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
31.03.2019 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 1-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo and Beerschot VA shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Westerlo at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beerschot VA led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Westerlo and 1.17 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Beerschot VA?

Westerlo 2-2 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 59%, draw 21%, Beerschot VA 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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