Tigres (K) 3-1 Alajuelense (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONK, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
74%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
26%
2.16
No
74%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
36%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
2%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Tigres (K) win — 74%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
85%
-11.2pp
16%
Draw
9%
+7.1pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+4.0pp
26%
BTTS Yes
42%
-16.5pp
74%
BTTS No
58%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tigres (K) vs Alajuelense (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres (K) beat Alajuelense (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (74%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tigres (K) vs Alajuelense (K)?

Tigres (K) 3-1 Alajuelense (K) in the CONK on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres (K) vs Alajuelense (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Tigres (K) 74%, draw 16%, Alajuelense (K) 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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