Alajuelense 1-1 CSD Comunicaciones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
2.18
Over
43%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
36%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-15.7pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.9pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
42%
+14.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
58%
-14.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.5pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY CSD Comunicaciones EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.94
+3% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
10.4 Crosses 13.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
2W-0D-0L
AWAY CSD Comunicaciones
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones 1-2 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense CONOAK
28.08.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 0-0 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-1
AWAY CSD Comunicaciones
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs CSD Comunicaciones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense and CSD Comunicaciones couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Alajuelense had 56% of the ball to CSD Comunicaciones's 44%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alajuelense and 1.00 for CSD Comunicaciones.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs CSD Comunicaciones?

Alajuelense 1-1 CSD Comunicaciones in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs CSD Comunicaciones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 47%, draw 28%, CSD Comunicaciones 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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