Sundby 2-0 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 4 Oct 2024

Sundby
2-0
Avarta
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Sundby vs Avarta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sundby v Avarta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sundby EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 39%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.50/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.26
-5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sundby 2-0 Avarta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sundby
2-0
AWAY Avarta
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sundby vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sundby beat Avarta 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sundby as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sundby had 53% of the ball to Avarta's 47%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of Sundby vs Avarta?

Sundby 2-0 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sundby vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sundby win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sundby 45%, draw 25%, Avarta 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sundby), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sundby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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