Vejle 2-2 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 4 Oct 2024

Vejle
2-2 HT 1-0
Aalborg
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Vejle vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.58
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
12%
5.6
X/2
13%
5.63
X/X
12%
5.05
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
14%
3.6
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 13% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vejle v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +22%
1.07/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.33
+16% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.7 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Vejle vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aalborg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 317
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.03.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
16.08.2021 Vejle Vejle 0-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
19.05.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 2-1 HT 0-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
16.04.2021 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
14.03.2021 Vejle Vejle 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
26.10.2020 Aalborg Aalborg 1-3 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAN

Vejle 2-2 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
2-2
AWAY Aalborg
1.42 xG 1.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
270 Passes 430
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vejle vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle and Aalborg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Vejle had 41% of the ball to Aalborg's 59%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.42 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vejle and 1.17 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Vejle vs Aalborg?

Vejle 2-2 Aalborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vejle 33%, draw 27%, Aalborg 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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