UTS Rabat 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.48
Over
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No Pick
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.21
2-3
44%
1.8
4-5
18%
5.61
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTS Rabat EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.58/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.26
+22% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTS Rabat
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.12.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 HT 0-1 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
05.03.2023 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 1-1 HT 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTS Rabat
1-0
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UTS Rabat vs Moghreb Tetouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTS Rabat squeezed past Moghreb Tetouan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had UTS Rabat as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UTS Rabat had 52% of the ball to Moghreb Tetouan's 48%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UTS Rabat and 1.00 for Moghreb Tetouan.

What was the final score of UTS Rabat vs Moghreb Tetouan?

UTS Rabat 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan in the Morocco - League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTS Rabat vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTS Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UTS Rabat 48%, draw 23%, Moghreb Tetouan 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTS Rabat), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTS Rabat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS More Morocco - League
4 Oct 2024
22:00 Chabab Mohammedia vs JS Soualem Analysis →