Atlantis 1-2 KPV Kokkola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
34%
3.72
Away
27%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.79
6+ Goals
7%
7.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.9 — our 27% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.0pp
34%
Draw
23%
+10.7pp
27%
Away Win
41%
-13.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlantis EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlantis
0W-1D-4L
AWAY KPV Kokkola
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 2-0 HT 0-0 Atlantis Atlantis FİN3
22.05.2024 Atlantis Atlantis 0-0 HT 0-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN3
31.05.2023 Atlantis Atlantis 0-1 HT 0-1 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİK
25.07.2009 Atlantis Atlantis 1-2 HT 0-2 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN2
19.07.2009 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 2-0 HT 2-0 Atlantis Atlantis FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlantis
1-2
AWAY KPV Kokkola
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atlantis vs KPV Kokkola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KPV Kokkola nicked a narrow win over Atlantis 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day KPV Kokkola made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Atlantis had 45% of the ball to KPV Kokkola's 55%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, KPV Kokkola led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Atlantis and 1.40 for KPV Kokkola.

What was the final score of Atlantis vs KPV Kokkola?

Atlantis 1-2 KPV Kokkola in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlantis vs KPV Kokkola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlantis win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atlantis 39%, draw 34%, KPV Kokkola 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlantis), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlantis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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