Barnsley U21 2-0 Crewe Alexandra U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley U21 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.34/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.54
+8% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
22.12.2023 Barnsley U21 Barnsley U21 3-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 INGPDL
18.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 1-2 HT 0-0 Barnsley U21 Barnsley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Barnsley U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley U21 saw off Crewe Alexandra U21 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barnsley U21 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barnsley U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Barnsley U21 and 0.50 for Crewe Alexandra U21.

What was the final score of Barnsley U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Barnsley U21 2-0 Crewe Alexandra U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Barnsley U21 59%, draw 24%, Crewe Alexandra U21 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnsley U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnsley U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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