Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avispa Fukuoka v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Avispa Fukuoka
JLK
1-0
HT 1-0
Nagoya Grampus
JLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
2-1
HT 1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
JAP
2-3
HT 1-3
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics
Avispa Fukuoka squeezed past Nagoya Grampus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Avispa Fukuoka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 45% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 55%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.68 to 1.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nagoya Grampus.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 0.83 for Nagoya Grampus.
What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 33%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) went the other way.