SKRA Czestochowa 2-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 32% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+8.9pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 55%
+16% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
0.89/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.22
-33% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
229 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 HT 1-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
22.03.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
22.09.2023 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 5-1 HT 2-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
08.09.2023 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
13.02.2023 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-0 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL1
22.07.2022 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2-0
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKRA Czestochowa got the better of Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chojniczanka Chojnice at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SKRA Czestochowa had 40% of the ball to Chojniczanka Chojnice's 60%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chojniczanka Chojnice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 1.50 for Chojniczanka Chojnice.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

SKRA Czestochowa 2-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice in the Poland - 2nd Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chojniczanka Chojnice win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 33%, draw 21%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 46%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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